{"id":53726,"date":"2026-05-20T09:25:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T07:25:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nzp.de\/change-of-government-in-hungary-in-2026-what-does-a-foreign-observer-see-now\/"},"modified":"2026-07-23T11:38:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T09:38:50","slug":"change-of-government-in-hungary-in-2026-what-does-a-foreign-observer-see-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nzp.de\/cat\/canvi-de-govern-a-hongria-el-2026-que-veu-ara-un-observador-estranger\/","title":{"rendered":"Canvi de govern a Hongria el 2026: Qu\u00e8 veu ara un observador estranger?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: 1.7; font-size: 16px;\">\n<h2 style=\"text-align: left; margin-bottom: 24px;\">\n    La imatge de l'Estat de dret a Hongria des de l'exterior a la primavera de 2026<br \/>\n  <\/h2>\n<p>\n    Quan un inversor estranger, un advocat o un assessor observa Hongria avui, no examina esl\u00f2gans pol\u00edtics, sin\u00f3 riscos. No pregunta qui \u00e9s al govern, sin\u00f3 aix\u00f2: l'entorn jur\u00eddic \u00e9s previsible i es pot confiar en l'estabilitat de la regulaci\u00f3?\n  <\/p>\n<p>\n    Des d'una perspectiva estrangera, el fet d'un canvi de govern no \u00e9s, per tant, un fi en si mateix, sin\u00f3 un senyal. Un senyal que un per\u00edode podria estar arribant a la seva fi \u2013 i que podria haver-hi una oportunitat genu\u00efna per a un model de govern m\u00e9s ordenat institucionalment.\n  <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left; margin-top: 32px; margin-bottom: 16px;\">\n    El panorama dels darrers anys: la legislaci\u00f3 com a factor de risc<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<p>\n    Per a l'ull estranger, el problema de la legislaci\u00f3 hongaresa en els darrers anys no ha estat principalment el seu contingut, sin\u00f3 el seu procediment. En particular, els fen\u00f2mens seg\u00fcents han minat significativament la reputaci\u00f3 del pa\u00eds en mat\u00e8ria de seguretat jur\u00eddica:\n  <\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin-top: 12px; margin-bottom: 24px; padding-left: 24px;\">\n<li>esmenes legislatives ad hoc, sovint sense avaluacions d'impacte,<\/li>\n<li>l'\u00fas massiu de les factures dels membres individuals com a mitj\u00e0 per eludir les obligacions de preparaci\u00f3 i de consulta,<\/li>\n<li>consultes p\u00fabliques breus i sovint merament formals,<\/li>\n<li>i girs normatius les conseq\u00fc\u00e8ncies pr\u00e0ctiques dels quals despr\u00e9s s'havien de corregir en una mena de mode de \u201ctombar incendis\u201d.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n    Per a un inversor estranger, aix\u00f2 no \u00e9s una q\u00fcesti\u00f3 te\u00f2rica. \u00c9s un element de dilig\u00e8ncia deguda.\n  <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left; margin-top: 32px; margin-bottom: 16px;\">\n    Qu\u00e8 demana avui un soci estranger?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<p>\n    Segons la nostra experi\u00e8ncia, la q\u00fcesti\u00f3 no \u00e9s si \u201cels impostos s\u00f3n baixos\u201d, sin\u00f3 m\u00e9s aviat, per exemple:\n  <\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin-top: 12px; margin-bottom: 24px; padding-left: 24px;\">\n<li>Quant de temps es pot esperar un entorn legal estable?<\/li>\n<li>Quina freq\u00fc\u00e8ncia t\u00e9 la regulaci\u00f3 retroactiva o la regulaci\u00f3 que entra en vigor amb poca antelaci\u00f3?<\/li>\n<li>Hi ha un remei efica\u00e7 si un reglament \u00e9s defectu\u00f3s?<\/li>\n<li>La legislaci\u00f3 \u00e9s previsible, o segueix cicles pol\u00edtics?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n    En els darrers anys, s'ha tornat cada cop m\u00e9s dif\u00edcil donar respostes tranquil\u00b7litzadores a aquestes preguntes.\n  <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left; margin-top: 32px; margin-bottom: 16px;\">\n    Qu\u00e8 significa ara un canvi de govern des de fora?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<p>\n    A l'estranger, un canvi de govern no augmenta autom\u00e0ticament la confian\u00e7a; m\u00e9s aviat, porta a una espera cautelosa. Els actors internacionals observen principalment per veure si:\n  <\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin-top: 12px; margin-bottom: 24px; padding-left: 24px;\">\n<li>La disciplina procedimental retorna a la legislaci\u00f3,<\/li>\n<li>el paper sist\u00e8mic dels projectes de llei dels membres individuals disminueix,<\/li>\n<li>Hi haur\u00e0 avaluacions d'impacte significatives i consulta professional,<\/li>\n<li>i la qualitat de la legislaci\u00f3 millora de manera mesurable, no nom\u00e9s en la comunicaci\u00f3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n    Si es produeix un canvi visible en aquestes \u00e0rees, aix\u00f2 importar\u00e0 molt m\u00e9s que qualsevol campanya de promoci\u00f3 d'inversions.\n  <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left; margin-top: 32px; margin-bottom: 16px;\">\n    Per qu\u00e8 aix\u00f2 es veu diferent des de fora que des de dins?<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<p>\n    A Hongria, l'elaboraci\u00f3 de lleis sovint apareix en el context de debats pol\u00edtics. Des de l'estranger, per\u00f2, es veu de manera tecnocr\u00e0tica: com una q\u00fcesti\u00f3 de processos, riscos i patrons comparables.\n  <\/p>\n<p>\n    En un sistema jur\u00eddic que opera parcialment en un pla internacional, la qualitat de la legislaci\u00f3 \u00e9s un producte d'exportaci\u00f3 \u2013 o, al contrari, un factor que provoca la restricci\u00f3 de les importacions.\n  <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left; margin-top: 32px; margin-bottom: 16px;\">\n    La posici\u00f3 d'un advocat<br \/>\n  <\/h3>\n<p>\n    Com a despatx d'advocats d'origen hongar\u00e8s, creat a Alemanya i autoritzat en diverses jurisdiccions \u2013 inclosos els Emirats \u00c0rabs Units \u2013 veiem clarament on un d\u00e8ficit de l'estat de dret esdev\u00e9 un factor empresarial. Per aix\u00f2 no ens interessa la comunicaci\u00f3 del canvi, sin\u00f3 la seva credibilitat procedimental.\n  <\/p>\n<p>\n    El m\u00f3n exterior est\u00e0 observant ara. No est\u00e0 aplaudint, ni atacant: est\u00e0 observant. I aquest \u00e9s el moment en qu\u00e8 la qualitat de la legislaci\u00f3 ja no \u00e9s una q\u00fcesti\u00f3 de pol\u00edtica interna, sin\u00f3 una q\u00fcesti\u00f3 de reputaci\u00f3 internacional.\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hungary\u2019s Rule-of-Law Image from the Outside in Spring 2026 When a foreign investor, lawyer, or adviser looks at Hungary today, they do not examine political slogans, but risks. They do not ask who is in government, but rather this: is the legal environment predictable, and can the stability of regulation be trusted? From a foreign [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":51449,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[139],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-en"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Hungary\u2019s Rule-of-Law Image from the Outside in Spring 2026 When a foreign investor, lawyer, or adviser looks at Hungary today, they do not examine political slogans, but risks. They do not ask who is in government, but rather this: is the legal environment predictable, and can the stability of regulation be trusted? 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